Monday 31 July 2017

North Korea: an unsolvable political problem?

Tense border
The tense border at Panmunjom (the "Peace Village"), is a place to which I went for an interesting visit. The situation was remeniscient of the former border between East and West Germany, in particular the Berlin Wall. A dividing line between nations, and both symptoms of a cold war. 2 questions may come to many minds: reunification, and/or peace? 

Negative side of the DPRK
"Democratic People's Republic of Korea" seems to be an inaccurate title. The marching, as seen above, appears rather similar to archive footage of WW2 or that of the former Soviet Union. The impression on this writer is that the population of North Korea is subjected to propaganda and brain-washing. There is also threatening behaviour towards the ROK (South Korea), the USA and Japan. Recently, Kim Jong-Un (North Korean president) claimed that any US city is within striking range, after a series of ballistic missile tests. 
Furthermore, the US recently conducted anti-missile defence tests, as a reaction. 

Finding peace: past lessons 
The Cold War was brought to an end, with the combined efforts of Reagan and Gorbachev. Viewed years earlier as highly  unlikely, the result was successful. Positive and open minds were present on both sides. That is something that both the ROK and the DPRK could certainly do with. 

Conclusion
As above, both sides have met before. Despite the bad relations between North and South, and the negative/ disrespectful aspects of the DPRK, history has demonstrated that it can be done. 
The formula for a positive outcome? Good intentions and common sense are needed on both sides. 

Wednesday 26 April 2017

On the eve of its next presidential election, who/ what are the people of France voting on?

The forthcoming election in France is hard to predict, as they all tend to be. The issues are those brought about by the EU, immigration and fear of both and fear in general. 
During this writer's university days, I lived in Rennes, France for a few months. At the time (1998), the National Front's leader was Jean-Marie Le Pen, the father of the current leader, Marine Le Pen. At that time, I saw numerous protests against the FN. One phrase I recall hearing shouted was "Le Front Nationale, ils sont tous fascistes!" 
The disquiet has continued into the next generation. Current president, François Hollande, has publicly said: "the extreme right is deeply dividing France."

So, the ultimate question is: what motives and inspiration does the electorate have? 
Some commentators have observed that France is now in decline. Has Brexit inspired some similar feelings, which would be an irony, given that France is a founding member. The IS-inspired lack of security has recently brought about an atmosphere of fear, which could be leading to support for the National Front. 
The main competitor for Marine Le Pen is Emmanuel Macron, a centrist supported by outgoing President Hollande. 
As is common in France, there is a lot of variety, including of candidates of all extremes (right and left). The future will depend on whom gets elected, and why.
The worst case may arise if the now independent candidate Le Pen, wins the election. The reasons for her policies are not known for being sensible, nor are the motivations and lack of reason of those voting for her. 

Thursday 6 April 2017

The key aim for all men

What should all men want?
Not a dirty question! We all (including me, above) are aiming for success in all areas, be it personal or in one's career. There are also dreams: a fast car, wealth, hobbies ( sports, music, etc.)

Avoid these
Unrewarding work, as well as unrealistic ambitions, and things that make you unhappy will be frustrating.

Some have had trouble growing up with demanding parents or siblings, who can be like bullies at times (psychologically). Don't do what your parents push you to do. They frequently have the wrong idea in pushing you into what they want, and will end up disappointing you ( at least in my case, the disappointment has been monumental). 

So, what will help you achieve your best?
The correct choice of who to marry, of course. Criterea? Not just attractiveness or sexiness, but the right type of heart. A lady who has the strength to support you in bad times and help you recover, shall help you be better than ever before. If you both can do the same, it shall mean you both can avoid bad mistakes, and fulfill both of your potentials together.
Strong will is the key for both of you.


Wednesday 29 March 2017

After the Brexit referendum: what next?

The reasons for the British electorate to turn its back
At the time of the yes vote, I recall saying it was a waste of democracy. Of the 30 million voters, 51.9% chose "yes". What were the good reasons for such a decision? Membership was thought of as too expensive, and many desired more control, away from the "U.S.E." 

What could happen next?
Britain joined the EU in 1973, the effort led by Edward Heath. Having undergone vetoes by France (De Gaulle's "non!" comes to mind from the history this writer  knows of). 
What could happen next? Leaving could negatively affect the UK economy, with a lack of access to the EU single market. Gone shall be the trade to the UK's biggest trade partners, fewer visits and visitors. 

The negative characteristics of anti-EU people
The flag lady of those who do not view the EU as a good thing for the UK. This writer will now try to describe anti-EU people as politely as possible. I view the main characteristic as "Isolationist paranoia". Affixing labels to France and Germany as interferers trying to decide Britains policies, does not match reality. In the case of Germany, many in the UK are using the past, specifically WW2, to justify themselves. How does one justify the unjustifiable? Many believe that the EU interferes in UK policies, despite the beneficial facts to all member states deciding such things together. 

What can be done to reform the EU?
A good question, readers might say. 
A change in the structure of the EU could lead to creating separate levels for countries, depending on national preferences. 
More room to manoeuvre when it comes to setting the EU budget could certainly ease a regular point of tension. 
Devolution of EU powers to national capitals could help avoid tensions in Brussels. Change to the power of the EU parliament, shifted away from the commission would certainly boost the democratic nature of the EU. 
Less bureaucracy and less of the notorious "red tape" should, if implemented correctly, make the EU better for all member states. 
It would also avoid the chance of "Frexit" taking place soon.

The next steps to success
Both belong together, not apart. The EU is reformable, and should be reformed. However, the U.K electorate made a bad, uninformed choice. Britain within a reformed EU would be a far better country. 

Monday 20 February 2017

The truly terrible condemnation that racist behaviour in sport brings upon a particular people

I am aware of being dissappointed by a particular group of people you thought you could trust. 
The same doesn't apply to Everton Luiz, a Brazilian football player/ soccer star who found himself subject to racist abuse while playing in Belgrade. Playing for Partizan Belgrade, fans of rivals Rad Belgrade started monkey chants when he was on the ball. 
Reduced to tears (above, being comforted by goalkeeping teammate Filip  Kjajic), the other team also brought dishonour upon themselves: "What shocked me above all was the attitude of the other team. Instead of trying to defuse the situation, they supported that type of behaviour. I want to forget about it all as quickly as possible," Everton was reported as commenting thereafter. 

To help their team do better in a match it was loosing, one set of fans felt themselves justified in sinking to such a level, in order to help their team do better.   The situation in which sports fans believe that descending to such barbaric attitudes can help them win deserves nothing but the broadest condemnation. Where has any sport or society got itself to in which this is thought reasonable?

Friday 17 February 2017

The one German import that Japan has long since needed

A long history of bitterness
It is a long legacy of war crime denial by Japan that has left behind much bitterness in China, as well as in other nations. 

The bad start
Manchuria's occupation in 1931, above, is where it all started. A great many crimes committed by the Japanese army followed this and Pearl Harbour. 
While the Imperial Army of Japan was celebrating what could be loosely termed "victories" such as above in 1941, the war ended with the atomic bombs in Hiroshima and Nagasaki, which the average Chinese terms as "deserved ".

The restoration of diplomatic relations between China and Japan in the 1970s was deemed by many as highly unlikely. However, the culture of war crime denial was perpetuated by the governmental authorities, academics, and the average person in Japan. The establishment of the Yasakuni shrine to the nation's war dead (which this writer avoided on a visit to Tokyo) also memorializes notorious war criminals. Such things lead to action being taken by the Chinese public: 
This writer, formerly resident in China, can recall angry crowds of people rolling over Toyotas, shouting the words "Japan is evil!"
(“日本不行/不好!”)

A few worthwhile gestures
It was left to a Japanese Buddhist monk, who in 2006 left his thoughts and prayers  for the souls of those who were victims of the Nanjing massacre. What has been missing before and since have been governing authorities trying to make amends. South Korea and also Singapore (800,000 were victims of the Sook Ching massacre in 1942) are both waiting for changes in Japanese society and of the political class.

Cold relations
Japanese goods are widely boycotted in China because of domestically produced memorials such as the Nanjing Massacre Momorial Shoes above, and PRC government encouragement. 

The future solution to the problem of history
The prime minister of Japan, Shinzo Abe,  how can he address such a sore spot of pan-Asia history? He could end up being confronted by people turning their backs on him, which the Emperor of Japan has been subjected to numerous times (once in London when I was 12). It will likely take more than trade and peace. 

A key role model 
One former chancellor of Germany, Willy Brandt, introduced a set of principles in society. It enabled the population to face up to the nation's poor past, regardless of an individual's personal record. Willy Brandt himself had been a leading anti-nazi during World War 2. 
Leading by personal example, such as at the former Warsaw Ghetto (above), brought a change in culture to the nation as a whole. The average German ever since has viewed the nation's history differently, in an extremely honest way. This is a key change that Japan has long since needed, and furthermore, it is an action that Mr. Abe should do his very best to emulate

Tuesday 14 February 2017

After a century of ups and downs, are Sino-US relations about to reset?

Relations between the two nations go back to 1911 just after the collapse of the Qing Dynasty. 

An early start
The pre- People's Republic of China (PRC) government, known as the ROC and run by the Nationalists (KMT) was seen as run by anti-communists. The key western ally of the KMT, was seen as having brought about the end of the main enemy, Japan. The PRC was viewed by the nato powers as forming a second  front in the Cold War. The PRC was seen as a target for undermining, 20 years following its founding in 1949. 

The beginning of peaceful relations
Motivated towards peaceful co-existence, both got together to build a mutually beneficial partnership when Mao  and Nixon shook hands. Part of the US president's aim was to unease the USSR  concurrently. He may have been successful in making Leonid Brezhnev  take a few steps backward. 
At the same time, both sides gained from  the arrangements made, economically and developmentally. Part of the PRC's aim was to have itself recognized as the only China, and have the KMT in Taiwan no longer propped up by the USA. This has been a continual demand by the PRC of the USA. 

Discussions/ tensions since Mao
While Reagan found a good audience with the likes of Zhao Ziyang (who favoured dialogue with the students in 1989), the PRC did not react well to American criticisms of its human rights. Movies such as "7 Years in Tibet" led to charges by the PRC of western nations interfering and behaving like "imperialists". 
In the 90s, such tensions boiled over into disagreements over trade. In that decade, the US frequently accused the PRC of manipulating its currency. 
Further diplomatic tensions came about through frequent near misses between both nations air forces. Both would accuse each other in their own way. Post Gorbachev, the PRC was labelled with the same words previously reserved for the USSR, and the domestic Chinese media was filled with anti-US propaganda. The accidental bombing of the Chinese embassy in Belgrade in 2008 by NATO provoked riots in the PRC. 
Cooler heads gradually took over, such as here in a warm moment between Zhu Rhongji and Bill Clinton. They were able to discuss their differences calmly, with the aim of common peace.

Hope for the future
So, despite a few statements by both sides of late, including the People's Daily accusing President Trump of "playing with fire" when it comes to pressure applied on Beijing over island building in the South China Sea, and pressure brought foward to change trade relations,      there have been recent discussions between Trump and the PRC president, Xi Jinping. Agreeing to recognize the "One China" principle after Beijing was upset by hearing about the head of the KMT/ ROC president congratulating Trump personally on winning the presidency, Trade and diplomacy is once more in the offing. The potential is certainly there for good relations to resume to the benefit of both, but as long as both are listening to each other respectfully, as has been recently happening, there could be a resumption of good relations that will be the best to both the PRC and the USA. The ingredients are there for optimism, despite the challenging relationship of the past few decades.